Street tumults have been continuing in Tehran for several days already. Students are the principal force. The powers carried out a series of arrests, but no desirable effect being obtained. The acts of protest are going on. The events occurring in the capital of the Islamic Republic of Iran being far from the situation which took place twenty four years ago when revolution was on the verge of outbreak still have one common feature with that disorderly time: these are students again who protest; intellectuals joining them.
The question arises: in whose hands will today’s disorders be playing - will it be the present regime which may enjoy carte blanche for broad reprisals in the country or the United States which doesn’t conceal its plans on replacement of the dictatorial regime in Iran?
It is common knowledge that the USA refers Iran to the countries included into the so-called “axis of the evil”, among them there was Saddam Husein’s regime in Iraq in the opinion of president Bush, North Korea proceeding with nuclear weapon elaboration is also reckoned as such. Washington declared long ago that until Iraq and Northern Korea give up their nuclear programs it is not going to collaborate with them. Moreover, these countries will be made to produce evidence of using nuclear stuffs for peaceful purposes. Though Iran is a participant of the Convention on non-proliferation of nuclear weapon it refuses persistently to sign IAAE protocol, which authorizes this organization to have broad access to the nuclear objects of Iran with the aim of inspection. If to take the situation around Iran, practically everything commenced with the issue on inspections. Should the aggravation of relations be looked upon as a starting point of an overthrow of the Islamic regime in Iran? Will military enforcement be chosen as tactics?
The Iranian leadership accuses openly the United States of the present tumults. Though officially the USA denies its interference into the internal affairs of Iran the declaration done by president Bush on this occasion doesn’t leave any doubts that at a convenient moment America may take advantage of the inner situation in order to realize its scheme on an overthrow of the Islamic regime. As BBC analyst Sadek Seba writes, on Sunday, June 15, Bush called the last demonstrations in Tehran and other big cities of Iran as “positive”. George Bush stated: “IT is the commencement of the people’s command, its aspiration to see free Iran; and I think it to be a positive step”. On June 14 the White House warned in its statement the government of Iran about inadmissibility of suppressing the demonstrations of protest, it demanded for respectful attitude towards human rights.
Iran.ru reports the USA administration to have been the only government in the world, which officially supported the protests started in Iran five days ago.
Tumults and disorders seem to be the main thing Americans are waiting for. This is that very circumstance which responds to the essence of Washington statements on non-application of military force in Iran. The tactics of warnings and menaces should bring fruits. Judging by the changed situation in Iran it is already bringing them. The tokens of split are witnessed in Iran. Being conscious of the support coming from outside Meijlis deputies move more resolute claims. Mehdi Karubi, speaker of Iran Islamic Assembly Mejlis, invoked the leadership of the country to present a complex precise account on the recent events in the country to the people. On Tuesday before the plenary meeting Karubi pronounced: “If we tell the people openly, honestly and straightforwardly about these events we shall reduce to a minimum abuses on the part of enemies”. Pointing to the arrests which followed the notorious events Mehdi Karubi remarked: “I call for detailed investigation in order innocent people and those detained by chance were discharged immediately. Such statements can’t be called otherwise but evincements of democracy. The group of scientists and higher schools professors who had joined students sent a venturesome letter addressed to Ayatollah Homeini, a spiritual leader of the republic - they demanded that the latter should give up the idea of being God’s deputy on the Earth. In their letter the representatives of Iranian intellectuals declared that “the people have a full right to criticize its leadership and remove it from power when the government deserves it”.
To say the truth, disorders in Iran occurred beforehand too, but the situation was quite different. Having disappointed in the present president of the country Muhammad Khotami who was to initiate reforms in the country, the adversaries of the regime may rely on outward forces. But for the time being it is difficult to say whether there is connection between participants of tumults with outward forces, or it is a recurrent spontaneous manifestation of discontent with the policy of the powers. But at any rate, one can’t negate a probability of these actions being guided from abroad.