|
Everything what takes place now in the Near
East speaks about war unavoidable for Iraq. Concentration
of military crafts of the USA and Great Britain, martial spirits
of the leadership of these countries, economic interests of
these two leading powers caring now more of raw stuffs security
which must be a domineering factor in the contemporary world
all this speaks in favor of military actions which are bound
to be started against Iraq sooner or later. Namely this factor
seems to become staff and staple of a new world division,
a new law and order.
The problem does not lie in Iraq, or in its regime, or in
its being a potential possessor of mass defeat weapon. Those
who were interested in international politics remember perfectly
well that Iraq possessed chemical weapon at the end of the
80s yet. The main thing is its rich petroleum deposits. The
historic facts testify that in spite of liberation from the
British yoke in 1930 in accordance with the international
agreement signed on October 10 of that same year the priority
in tapping oil reposits of the country were still preserved
by foreign companies. On the premises of the same document
the share of Iranian, English, American, French companies
exceeded that one of local enterprises several times. To the
end of the 50s - the precise date being June 14, 1958 - Iraq
leader Abdukarim Kasim who was at the head in that period
annulled the agreements with the foreign companies of Great
Britain historically enjoying military presence in the Near
East, in Iraq, in particular, one managed to tear away a part
of Iraq territory and achieve the promulgation of the new
state in the region called Kuwait. It happened on July 19,
1961. Basra province was subordinated to Kuwait. One of the
mighty powers of the world - that of Great Britain - managed
to retain control over basic oil deposits from which almost
the half of all petroleum produced in Iraq was extracted.
Sea entrance was blocked for Iraq that permitted to dictate
prices for this important strategic raw stuff. These purposes
were realized by Great Britain through the sheikh of Kuwait
who was under its immediate subordination.
Before the beginning of the operation "Storm in the Desert"
"New York Times" wrote that the sheikh of Kuwait
didn't follow the limit established by OPEC extracting oil
in great amounts. It eventuated in price reduction for a barrel
from 18 dollars to 11. for Iraq even 1 dollar of reduced price
entailed 1 billion loss a year. The support of Kuwait by the
Western countries caused the damage in the size of 14 billion
dollars for Iraq in the span of February-August 1990. It was
reported by French "Figaro" in 1991. In a word,
non-observance of OPEC requirements by Kuwait was an undeclared
economic war against Iraq. This circumstance accounts for
Iraq aggression against Kuwait. The crisis in the Persian
Gulf and the capture of Kuwait by Iraq evoked protest and
opposition on the part of the world community. In those years
the army of Iraq was considered to be "the fourth great
army of the world". At the moment of the operation "Storm
in the Desert" this army was able to stand only 100 hours
of onslaught on the part of the adversary. When carrying into
effect "Storm in the Desert" which was lasting for
40 days over 100 thousand tons of bombs and shells were dropped
upon Iraq from air; that exceeding the power of the atomic
bomb applied in Hiroshima 8 times. As France-Press reported,
50 thousand people were killed in those days, but the representative
of the German Bundeswehr Manfred Opel states that only in
Baghdad 100 thousands were extirpated and all over Iraq the
number of victims was equal to 300 thousand human lives. Apart
from human victims the war poured into the genuine ecology
holocaust. Over 450 million gallons of oil got into the Persian
Gulf. The length of oil spot along the eastern coast of Saudi
Arabia averaged 100 miles; the width being 40 miles. The thickness
of oil-coverage reached 20 cm in some places. As witnesses
assert, for a long time dark clouds were hanging over Iran
and Iraq, black rains were going on. The war didn't spare
many towns of Kuwait either. 740-750 oil chinks were burnt
down, daily losses of the country were equal to 100 million
dollars. "New York Times" reported that round-the-clock
losses of oil in Kuwait were comparable with daily expenses
of benzene in the USA. Into the bargain, as the newspaper
ran, in future because of this ecology holocaust durability
of population's life in the region will reduce. This war cost
61 billion dollars for American taxpayers; 54 billion were
compensated by rich Arab sheikhs and Americ
a's allies presented by Japan and Germany.
Today the threat of war impends anew. In the region itself
there continues the opposition between poor and well-to-do
Arabic countries. The principal reason of this opposition
is the access to natural resources and cooperation with the
West on the part of some Arabic countries for the sake of
their economic interests. The natural resources in the region
are not divided equally between the Arabic countries. It is
just due to this reason that the poor countries of the Near
East declare about their supporting the policy of Iraq and
Arab billionaires maintain American presence in the region.
This is the quotation from Roge Garodi, French Professor of
Politology: "The third world war has begun. This war,
though quiet, is frightening. Children will perish together
with parents, there will be millions of the wounded, millions
of the unemployed. Destroyed bridges and hundreds of outfits,
schools, and hospitals standing idle. Just those will be the
effects of the undeclared war".
In the Persian Gulf Iraq is considered to be an influential
state. Saddam's opposition keeps to the opinion that he wants
to become Arabian Bismark, i.e. to unite the entire Arabic
world in order to be its direct leader. His strivings to accrue
military potential may be accounted for just by it. In the
period of 1983-1985 Iraq acquired military technique costing
89 billion dollars. Today the effectives of the Iraq army
constitute 180000 soldiers and officers. At its disposal there
are over 600 modern military aircrafts and 600 tanks. And
he is going to use all this military might for the achievement
of his goals. If he managed to gain Kuwait oil then cooperating
with Saudi Arabia Iraq would be able to take control over
OPEC and deliver a great damage upon the economics of the
USA. That is just one of the principal strategic plans of
Saddam Hussein. Hence the opposition between the Iraq leader
and America whose administration accuses Saddam Hussein of
producing mass defeat weapon. Many analysts consider that
military interference may entail unpredictable consequences,
up to the third world war. If mankind starts this war it may
confront the most colossal holocaust in the scales of the
whose Universe.
|