www.varorud.org
ÈÀÀ ÂÀÐÎÐÓÄ
Russian Version
Ïîãîäà
  Sogd +7 +9°C
  Khatlon +10 +13°C
  GBAO +3 +4°C
  RRP +4 +6°C
  Dushanbe +8 +10°C
 USD 3.1954
 EURO 3.7530
 RUS 1.1032

05.11.2003ANALITICS - ECONOMY

CONCEPTION OF TAJIKISTAN TRANSITION
TO STEADY DEVELOPMENT MODEL
Now the independent Tajikistan found itself in the situation when throughout a comparatively short historic period one must solve the problems, which required centuries spent by other countries considered as progressive in economic, political and social aspects. In order not to hopelessly fall behind world civilizational processes one must pass to market economy, democracy, and law-abiding state, civil society in the shortest terms.
The citizens of Tajikistan not enjoying democratic freedoms and rights in full measure, nevertheless, care about future generations in order their life activity were based on more civilized and democratic grounds, in order democratic principles of settling social affairs dominated in the future Tajik state, in order lawfulness were observed and human rights ensured.
Nowadays a new unprecedented goal has stood before the world community, in general, and CIS countries, in particular - to do a transition to a new model of steady development they spoke the first time about at the UNO Conference on environmental protection and development in Rio de Janeiro (1992).
The decade passed proved the viability of the idea of steady development. The process of including the terminology of steady development into their programs on strategic planning by many countries is quite natural. Moreover, this idea turned out to be so successful that for a short time it covered the distance from substantiation of the term to its recognition as a postulate. Just in this meaning it was included into the principle document designed by UNO at the junction of the millennia - "UNO Millennium Declaration". It runs to the effect that "… the present unstable models of production and consumption should be changed for the sake of our future welfare, our descendants inclusive". However, to use terminology doesn't mean to understand it. Very often distorted perfunctory understanding (and applied subsequent to it) of the terminology of steady development is occurred in the orations of politicians and scientists who treat it as some mechanism of stable undeviating growth; such approach impoverishes essentially the contents of the idea serving as a tribute to intellectual fashion.
M. Muntyan writes in his book "Russia in the third Civilizational Revolution" the following: "The entire world, the post-Soviet countries inclusive, stands on the threshold of the third civilizational revolution, being no less or even more Fundamental. It seems improbable that the main mechanisms of modern civilization - those of market economy and democracy - may turn out being non-acceptable for mankind's survival, for transition to a new civilizational model of development. I think, the democratic way to future "stable humankind" is quite real. But in order to attain it one must change the very mechanism of self-governance and people's sovereignty rationalizing it essentially, engrafting it organically into the model of steady development which is bound to synthesize and balance all the best accumulated by civilization, to obviate spontaneously developed negative processes leading to global holocaust. Transition to the model of steady development, globalization and perfection of democracy are an optimal and rational trajectory of humankind's survival.
Of course, one may proclaim it ostentatiously, but it is more difficult to prove the postulate; especially when it deals with the future being always uncertain. It is much more complicated in reference to our country which was always distinguished with a specificity of its own, it should not only pass to market relations, but conduct democratic transformations as well. If Tajikistan doesn't wish to be at the edge of new civilizational changes it ought to be involved into the transition to the steady development model. The problem seems to lie in the processes of transition to market economy and democratic reforms, which should be conducted on the conceptual and strategic basis beset with the new model. This imperative must be pursued by the entire world if it is eager to survive. Therefore, a creation of the conception of transition to this model is equally important for a creation of a model of secular democratic society in Tajikistan.
Rebirth of Sovereign Tajikistan as Transition to Steady Development Model
Tajikistan orientation towards a transition to steady development may seem to be non-actual when the country is absorbed into the deepest economic crisis and its fragile stability may be blown up at any moment by social explosion. Some people express the opinion that now it is necessary to solve the acutest economy problems and only subsequent to them ecology may be tackled; in the course of the reforms conducted the latter is moved to the periphery of social activity. Ecology hasn't become tat national strategic goal, which seemed to be able of uniting all the layers of society, to help in attainment of unity and concord, to slacken centrifugal-confrontational tendencies. Inclusion into the world process turned out to be not so easy as we had supposed naively at the beginning of perestroika; instead of promised aid on the part of industrially developed countries for "a leap into democracy" there transpired a distinct tendency of converting Tajikistan into a raw stuffs appendage of the West and an ecologic "dump of wastes". Into a "developing country" you may not reckon with.
The essentially reduced consideration in regard to ecology at the modern stage of social development in Tajikistan may be pernicious for all its citizens and a vista of development. Social problems conducted under the slogans of reconstruction, democratic reforms, renovation, rebirth and etc. must not be solved at the cost of trampling upon the vitality of people's existence - natural environment and natural resources. It would mean to proceed with unsteady development model rejected b the world community. In the wide sense we need acutely the "ecologic insurance" is seen in the transition to the way of steady development.
The rebirth of Tajikistan as a sovereign state its inclusion into the world civilizational process orienting on SD model should be beset with realization of a new type of movement targeted forward when the meeting of life necessities of the present generation of people won't be achieved at the expense of our descendants. Transition to this model will require optimization of not only economic and ecologic features, but of harmony between people, between society and nature either.
Stability of economic accretion and social development will be achieved without unjustified degradation of nature, the unique biodiversity and biobalance formed in the course of centuries must be preserved. In all their activities people should be guided with the principle of reduction of anthropogenic pressure upon nature.
Such stable social-natural development suggests an evolution along the way of broadly comprehended, versatile intensification of not only production but of social sphere as well.
SD constituents mustn't be realized spontaneously, they will require new mechanisms of management both in global and in national or regional ranges. The goals of civilizational development will be changed, out of common human values preference will be given to those which ensure the movement forwarded along a trajectory of ecohumanistic orientation. It will entail cardinal changes of demographic, social-economic, cultural, political and other slants not confined with conducted reforms.
It is perceived already in the post-Soviet countries. Thus, in 1994 Russia adopted the document "On State Strategy of Russian Federation on Environmental Protection and Steady Development Insurance" based on the instruments of UNO Conference on natural environment and development and containing basic provision of RF state strategy on the point at issue.
Regretfully, the work on elaboration of similar conception in Tajikistan is limited with separate endeavors of enthusiasts. Nevertheless, to our mind, Tajikistan must go forward, it should carry into effect not two or three new processes, say, privatization and transition to market, but the whole complex of transformations arising not from imitation to the West but from the essence of the steady development model.
By Alisher Abdulloyev,
Candidate of Economics

Write us: webmaster@varorud.org